scorecardresearchBond yields tad higher as cautious traders focus on budget

Bond yields tad higher as cautious traders focus on budget

Updated: 17 Jan 2023, 04:51 PM IST
TL;DR.
  • The benchmark 10-year yield ended up at 7.3335%, after closing higher at 7.3283% on Monday.
Savings bonds are one of the safest long-term investment options available to investors.

Savings bonds are one of the safest long-term investment options available to investors.

(Reuters) - Indian government bond yields ended marginally higher for a third consecutive session on Tuesday as sentiment turned cautious on fears of one more year of elevated borrowing.

The benchmark 10-year yield ended up at 7.3335%, after closing higher at 7.3283% on Monday.

"There are fears about an elevated borrowing calendar, which has led to a rise in yields and made the market nervous," said Debendra Kumar Dash, senior vice-president - treasury at AU Small Finance Bank. "There will be a lot of uncertainty in the run-up to the budget, with the bias towards upside for yields."

India's federal budget will be announced on Feb. 1, with the major focus on the government's fiscal consolidation path and its borrowing calendar for the next financial year.

Most economists and market participants expect the government to target a gross borrowing of above 15.50 trillion Indian rupees ($189.56 billion).

The State Bank of India's economic research wing has pegged the borrowing at 16.10 trillion rupees. Demand for the middle part of the curve has to be created to keep the pressure off the 10-year segment by doing open market purchases, it said.

It expects states to borrow 8 trillion rupees on a gross basis in the next fiscal, even as states continue to undershoot debt issuance in the current fiscal against the borrowing schedule.

States' finances are expected to improve in 2022-23 with the consolidated gross fiscal deficit to gross domestic product ratio seen falling to 3.4% from 4.1% for the previous year, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said on Monday.

Meanwhile, New Delhi aims to raise 280 billion rupees through the sale of bonds on Friday. Four Indian states raised a lower-than-scheduled 67 billion rupees earlier in the day.

 

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Here we explain the role of bonds in a portfolio.
First Published: 17 Jan 2023, 04:51 PM IST