scorecardresearchGlobal Markets Wrap: Stocks Stabilize as Traders Weigh US-China Tension

Global Markets Wrap: Stocks Stabilize as Traders Weigh US-China Tension

Updated: 03 Aug 2022, 07:46 AM IST
TL;DR.

US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is continuing a visit to Taiwan that has provoked an angry response from China, but markets for the moment are absorbing the developments as traders contemplate their ramifications.

U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi visits the parliament in Taipei, Taiwan August 3, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Wang

U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi visits the parliament in Taipei, Taiwan August 3, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Wang

(Bloomberg) -- Stocks stabilized in Asia on Wednesday, helped by a rebound in Hong Kong, as some of the investor anxiety over fraught US-China ties eased. Treasuries pared a slide sparked by hawkish Federal Reserve comments.

Equity markets in China and Japan also pushed higher, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures fluctuated after a dip in Wall Street shares on Tuesday.

US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is continuing a visit to Taiwan that has provoked an angry response from China, but markets for the moment are absorbing the developments as traders contemplate their ramifications.  

Treasury yields dipped but the two-year rate remained above 3%. A chorus of Fed officials Tuesday said the central bank has some way to go to get inflation under control, leading traders to trim wagers on policy easing next year.

A dollar gauge was little changed and the yen weakened amid ebbing demand for havens from geopolitical risk.

The comments from Fed officials including Mary Daly, Loretta Mester and Charles Evans served to highlight the challenging backdrop of rising borrowing costs, price pressures and slowing economic growth confronting markets.

San Francisco Fed President Daly said the Fed has “a long way to go” on reaching price stability around a 2% inflation target. Cleveland counterpart Mester said she wants to see “very compelling evidence” that month-to-month price increases are moderating.

“It’s hard to see any meaningful upside in equities right now,” Xi Qiao, managing director for global wealth management at UBS Group AG, said on Bloomberg Television. “The market is going to trade pretty mixed, stay choppy until we have a little bit more certainty.”

Missile Tests

China, which regards Taiwan as part of its territory, announced missile tests and military drills around the island after Pelosi became the highest-ranking American politician to visit in 25 years. 

China also halted natural sand exports to Taiwan and some fish and fruit imports from the island.

While fears of an acute deterioration in ties between the US and China appear to have cooled, the ill-will highlights the risk of longer term economic decoupling with an array of potential impacts, such as stickier inflation as supply chains adjust.

China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., the world’s biggest maker of batteries for electric vehicles, decided to push back announcing a multibillion-dollar North American plant to supply Tesla Inc. and Ford Motor Co. due to tensions raised by Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan, according to people familiar with the matter.

“Pelosi’s trip might exacerbate the already strained US-China relationship, and impede on growth if more counter-productive measures are deployed,” said Bernard Shaw, an Asia bond syndicate banker at Daiwa Capital Markets Singapore Ltd. He added US tariffs on Chinese goods now seem likely to stay in place.

Elsewhere, oil traded at about $94 a barrel ahead of an OPEC+ crude production meeting. Gold climbed and Bitcoin dropped under $23,000.

This week’s MLIV Pulse survey is asking about your outlook for corporate bonds, mergers and acquisitions and health of US corporate balance sheets through the end of the year. It takes one minute to participate in the MLIV Pulse survey, so please click here to get involved anonymously. 

What to watch this week:

  • OPEC+ meeting on output, Wednesday
  • US factory orders, durable goods, ISM services, Wednesday
  • BOE rate decision, Thursday
  • US initial jobless claims, trade, Thursday
  • Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester due to speak, Thursday
  • US employment report for July, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures added 0.1% as of 10:48 a.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 fell 0.7%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.1%. The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.3%
  • Japan’s Topix index rose 0.2%
  • South Korea’s Kospi index gained 0.4%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.8%
  • China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.5%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.4%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures were down 0.3%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%
  • The euro was at $1.0164
  • The Japanese yen was at 133.69 per dollar, down 0.4%
  • The offshore yuan was at 6.7592 per dollar, up 0.3%

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell two basis points to 2.72%
  • Australia’s 10-year yield increased nine basis points to 3.07%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude was at $94.51 a barrel, up 0.1%
  • Gold was at $1,762.93 an ounce, up 0.2%

First Published: 03 Aug 2022, 07:46 AM IST