scorecardresearchKalpataru Power: Emkay Global sees a 27% upside; here's why

Kalpataru Power: Emkay Global sees a 27% upside; here's why

Updated: 07 Sep 2022, 10:58 AM IST
TL;DR.

  • Kalpataru Power: The brokerage firm believes that the improvement in orders, the merger process underway and the expectation of a lower promoter pledge are the key triggers expected to play out over the next one year.

According to a MintGenie poll, an average of 14 analysts have a ‘strong buy’ call on the stock.

According to a MintGenie poll, an average of 14 analysts have a ‘strong buy’ call on the stock.

Brokerage firm Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained a buy call on the stock of Kalpataru Power Transmission and increased the target price to 545 per share from 500 earlier, implying a 27% upside from the stock's closing of 429.75 on September 6 on BSE.

The brokerage firm believes that the improvement in orders, the merger process underway and the expectation of a lower promoter pledge are the key triggers expected to play out over the next one year.

As per the brokerage firm, the company's management expects 15% sales growth, EBITDAM of about 9%, and an order inflow of 21,000 crore during FY23 for the consolidated entity.

"Given the strong inflow in the first five months of the current fiscal, we raise our order inflow estimate by nearly 10% to 9,500 crore, which increases our earnings per share (EPS) for FY24 and FY25 by about 2.5% each," said the brokerage firm.

On the merger front, no objection has been received from either SEBI or the stock exchanges; a petition has been filed with the NCLT and the merger is expected by the end-FY23.

Emkay highlighted that JMC Projects continues to showcase a robust order book and will drive growth for the merged entity.

In the past few years, JMC’s order book has seen a multi-fold increase, owing to significant wins in the water business and an uptick in the building and factories segment. In 1QFY23, sales grew by 44% YoY, with EBITDAM of 8.4%. YTD inflows stood at about 3,700 crore. Order book stood at nearly 19,500 crore, with an additional L1 of 2800 crore, Emkay said.

Promoter pledging is maintained at nearly 50% of the promoter holding of 51.6%. Emkay said the management had earlier indicated that promoters intend to bring this down by September-October 2022. The brokerage firm believes that any significant improvement in sales on the real estate front can lead to lower pledging.

"We increase our SoTP-based Jun-2023 target price to 545 per share from 500 earlier due to roll over and increase in earnings for FY24/FY25. We maintain a buy. We believe improving inflow and lower raw-material costs imply better earnings for Kalpataru Power in the coming times. Risks include any slowdown in ordering or increase in promoter pledge," said Emkay.

According to a MintGenie poll, an average of 14 analysts have a ‘strong buy’ call on the stock.

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations given in this article are those of the broking firm. These do not represent the views of MintGenie.

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First Published: 07 Sep 2022, 10:58 AM IST