scorecardresearchMarkets Pre-Open: Indian rupee likely to open flat as oil surge counters

Markets Pre-Open: Indian rupee likely to open flat as oil surge counters dollar retreat

Updated: 24 Aug 2022, 08:43 AM IST
TL;DR.

The rupee is seen at around 79.84-79.88, compared with the previous session's close of 79.8625. It traded in a range of about 20 paisa in the last three sessions.

A vegetable vendor counts Indian rupee banknotes at a vegetable market in Mumbai, India, on Wednesday, July 20, 2022. The rupee slid to all-time low of 80.06 per dollar on Tuesday, and has lost 2.4% over the past month, the third-worst performing Asian currency over the period. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

A vegetable vendor counts Indian rupee banknotes at a vegetable market in Mumbai, India, on Wednesday, July 20, 2022. The rupee slid to all-time low of 80.06 per dollar on Tuesday, and has lost 2.4% over the past month, the third-worst performing Asian currency over the period. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

(Reuters) - The Indian rupee is tipped to open little changed against the dollar on Wednesday, as an overnight jump in oil prices offset support from a slight pullback in the U.S. currency.

The rupee is seen at around 79.84-79.88, compared with the previous session's close of 79.8625. It traded in a range of about 20 paisa in the last three sessions.

It will likely be another session where the rupee "will lack direction", a trader with a Mumbai-based bank said.

Meanwhile, importers are increasing hedges on concerns that the rupee may add to its near 7.5% decline so far in 2022.

Brent crude futures climbed almost 4% on Tuesday to near $100 a barrel after Saudi Arabia floated the idea of OPEC+ output cuts to support prices.

The dollar index at one point on Tuesday dropped to 108.06 after data indicated weak U.S. private sector activity. The S&P Global flash composite purchasing managers index (PMI) for August dropped to the lowest since May 2020.

The data fuelled concerns about the U.S. economic outlook and whether slowdown worries could prompt the Federal Reserve to slow its pace of rate hikes.

Still, Fed Fund futures indicate a near 55% chance that the U.S. central bank will raise rates by 75 basis points next month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Treasury yields reached multi-week highs, despite the disappointing data. Traders are awaiting Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments at the central bank symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday.

The dollar index managed to recover from its intraday low on Tuesday, helped by risk aversion. The S&P 500 Index declined for the third straight day and futures indicated more losses for the benchmark gauge.

Asian currencies and shares were mixed on Wednesday and the SGX Nifty indicated a slightly weaker opening for Indian equities. Traders will parse through daily equity flows data to see whether a recent deterioration in risk appetite impacted flows.

First Published: 24 Aug 2022, 08:43 AM IST